North Carolina
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
160  Mark Derrick SR 32:04
365  Joe Sansone SR 32:40
442  Logan Carroll SO 32:49
963  Jeremy Brown FR 33:40
1,188  Mark Myers FR 33:59
1,653  Chris Madaffari SR 34:38
1,875  Matt Thornton FR 34:56
1,961  Nick Walker FR 35:04
2,181  Jack Cawley FR 35:31
National Rank #72 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #9 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 50.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Mark Derrick Joe Sansone Logan Carroll Jeremy Brown Mark Myers Chris Madaffari Matt Thornton Nick Walker Jack Cawley
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 1005 32:05 32:43 33:48 33:28 33:55 34:50 33:47
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) 10/14 34:54 35:04 35:31
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational 10/14 1132 32:00 34:59 33:51 34:25 36:18
ACC Championships 10/28 895 32:23 32:26 32:13 33:15 33:13 34:50 34:57
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 992 32:05 33:11 32:28 34:31 34:29 34:17





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.6 337 0.3 3.8 10.0 17.4 19.5 19.6 14.6 8.2 3.8 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Derrick 1.2% 105.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Mark Derrick 16.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.8 4.4 6.3 6.2 5.4 6.4 5.1 5.7 4.6 3.5 3.3 3.2 2.8 2.3 1.8
Joe Sansone 37.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.1 2.6 3.0
Logan Carroll 46.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0
Jeremy Brown 98.4
Mark Myers 118.5
Chris Madaffari 162.4
Matt Thornton 183.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.3% 0.3 6
7 3.8% 3.8 7
8 10.0% 10.0 8
9 17.4% 17.4 9
10 19.5% 19.5 10
11 19.6% 19.6 11
12 14.6% 14.6 12
13 8.2% 8.2 13
14 3.8% 3.8 14
15 1.8% 1.8 15
16 0.8% 0.8 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.2% 0.2 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia Tech 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0